MARootsIm: Array;
The MARootsIm property returns values of the imaginary part of MA process characteristic roots.
To get values of the real part of MA process characteristic roots, use the ISlARMA.MARootsRe property.
To execute the example, add a link to the Stat system assembly.
Sub UserProc;
Var
lr: ISmLinearRegress;
x: Array[30] Of Double;
Intercept: IIntercept;
res, i: Integer;
d: Double;
CoefficientsMa, CoefficientsSMA: ICoefficients;
Begin
lr := New SmLinearRegress.Create;
// Values of explained series:
x[0]:=0.00576; x[1]:=0.0078; x[2]:=0.00851; x[3]:=0.00691;
x[4]:=0.00585; x[5]:=0.00127; x[6]:=-0.00431; x[7]:=0.00305;
x[8]:=0.00455; x[9]:=0.00829; x[10]:=0.01095; x[11]:=0.0042;
x[12]:=0.00172; x[13]:=0.00221; x[14]:=0.00685; x[15]:=0.00317;
x[16]:=0.00073; x[17]:=0.00267; x[18]:=0.00073; x[19]:=0.00218;
x[20]:=0.0041; x[21]:=-0.00144; x[22]:=-0.00507; x[23]:=0.00964;
x[24]:=0.00455; x[25]:=0.00334; x[26]:=0.00166; x[27]:=0.00781;
x[28]:=0.01055; x[29]:=0.00512;
lr.Explained.Value := x;
// Sample period:
lr.ModelPeriod.FirstPoint := 1;
lr.ModelPeriod.LastPoint := 20;
lr.Forecast.LastPoint := 30;
// A constant will be used in the model:
Intercept:= lr.ModelCoefficients.Intercept;
Intercept.Mode := InterceptMode.ManualEstimate;
// ARIMA options:
lr.ARMA.ParseMA("3");
lr.ARMA.ParseMASeas("2");
// Method of initial approximations detection:
lr.ARMA.CalcInitMode := ARMAInitType.Auto;
// Optimization method:
lr.ARMA.EstimationMethod := ARMAEstimationMethodType.GaussNewton;
// Number of iterations and accuracy for optimization method:
lr.ARMA.MaxIteration := 500;
lr.ARMA.Tolerance := 0.000100;
// Calculate model:
res := lr.Execute;
If (res = 0) Then
Debug.WriteLine("===Estimates of moving average coefficients===");
CoefficientsMA := lr.ARMA.CoefficientsMA;
For i:=0 To CoefficientsMA.Estimate.Length-1 Do
d := CoefficientsMA.Estimate[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Value: " + d0.ToString);
d := CoefficientsMA.StandardError[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Standard error: " + d.ToString);
d := CoefficientsMA.TStatistic[i];
Debug.WriteLine("t-statistic: " + d.ToString);
d := CoefficientsMA.Probability[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Probability: " + d.ToString);
End For;
Debug.WriteLine("===Estimates of moving average coefficients===");
CoefficientsSMA := lr.ARMA.CoefficientsMASeas;
For i:=0 To CoefficientsSMA.Estimate.Length-1 Do
d := CoefficientsSMA.Estimate[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Value: " + d0.ToString);
d := CoefficientsSMA.StandardError[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Standard error: " + d.ToString);
d := CoefficientsSMA.TStatistic[i];
Debug.WriteLine("t-statistic: " + d.ToString);
d := CoefficientsSMA.Probability[i];
Debug.WriteLine("Probability: " + d.ToString);
End For;
//Characteristicroo ts:
Debug.WriteLine("MA roots:");
For i:=0 To lr.ARMA.MARootsRe.Length-1 Do
Debug.WriteLine((lr.ARMA.MARootsRe[i] As Double).ToString + " + " + (lr.ARMA.MARootsIm[i] As Double).ToString + "i");
End For;
Else
Debug.WriteLine(lr.Errors);
End If;
End Sub UserProc;
After executing the example the console window displays estimates of moving average coefficients and MA roots.
See also: