Consider ARMA estimation using the maximum likelihood method. Assume that the ARMA model is specified:
Specify θ = (φ, ψ).
Main purpose of the algorithm is maximization of logarithmic function of maximum likelihood, which looks as follows for the ARMA model:
,
Where:
To estimate νt and ωt the Kalman filter is used, that is, iteration algorithm that enables the user to delete observations errors. After smoothing νt and ωt, solving of this problem gives coefficients estimation of the ARMA model.
See also:
Library of Methods and Models | ARIMA | ARIMA Model Coefficient Estimation | Maximum Likelihood Method Estimation